« What will the new economy look like? And when will it be here? | Main | The most important macroeconomic statistics you never heard of »
Thursday
Jul092009

On Wall Street, repeating the same behavior that got you into trouble is the way to get out.

Banks are required to hold capital reserves against the risk that their investments may go bad.  Under the Basel II agreements, riskier investments require higher capital ratios.  Widespread downgrades of the ratings of their investments (as well as huge losses) are forcing banks to raise more capital.  For example, the downgrading of a CDO from AAA to BB+ would require an increase in capital from 0% to 8% of the face amount.  Bloomberg reports here that as ratings of CDOs are downgraded, they are being packaged into CDO-squareds so that a substantial amount of the face value gets a brand new AAA rating, reducing the amount of capital they have to raise. 

Work at the Harvard Business School, summarized here, shows that CDO-squareds have much more systemic risk than CDOs with the same ratings.

PrintView Printer Friendly Version

EmailEmail Article to Friend

Reader Comments

There are no comments for this journal entry. To create a new comment, use the form below.

PostPost a New Comment

Enter your information below to add a new comment.

My response is on my own website »
Author Email (optional):
Author URL (optional):
Post:
 
Some HTML allowed: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <code> <em> <i> <strike> <strong>